sources
'It is believed that someone who has experienced near to death re-evaluates his priorities and values in life''
joseph stiglitz freefall
i had lots of memories of 2008 crisis,, me just sitting lone at home,,,who was watching that oil prices are jumping 147 $ a barrel,,,just thenn saw lehmann brothers collapsing,,,and read in hindi news paper about details of crisis,,,
shrinking of Japanese economy,,,USA bailout,,indian rbi measures to inject nearly 1.75 lakhs cr in markets,,,,just to enhance demand,,[reminder of keynesian economics,,,increase demand]...
sources,,,
''freefall'' joseph stiglitz,,,
''time for a visible hand-lesson from 2008 crisis'']
RECESSION OF 2008[SUB PRIME MORTGAGE
CRISIS]
Sub prime mortgaze crisi had been
affecting USAs bank from 2006 itself,,,by 2008 start Bear sterns had suffered
and was turned out to be a casuality...same was case with Freddie mac and
Fannie Mae.
By September 2008,,we saw giant like
Lehmann brothers collapsing,,,same was with Meryll lynch,,Wachovia,,and many
prominent banks of USA,,,what transpired in USA did shock the entire world
markets,,and lead to meltdown in global economy..
We saw Japanese economy shrinking for
2 consecutive quarters,,,in later part 0f 2008,,,we saw USAs government
releasing bail out packages,,,Citigroup was to about to be bifurcated...
What were the main causes,,that has
been discussed here..
Many
factors contributed to the 2008 problem, including lax regulations and a flood
of liquidity. There were incentives for providing misleading information and conflicts
of interest. Two additional elements were present: incentives for excessive risk-taking
and fraudulent behaviour (a problem that played an important role in the
savings and loans, S&L, debacle).5 Perhaps more important though than these
perverse incentives was a failure in modelling: a failure to understand the
economics of securitization and the nature of systemic risk.
Few reason
for crisis..
Incentive
problem
Executives
compensation system
Executive
compensation schemes (combined with accounting regulations) encouraged
the
provision of misleading information. Executives that are paid
with stock
options have an incentive to increase the market value of shares,
and this
may be more easily done by increasing reported income than by
increasing
true profits. Though the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 fixed some of
the
problems that were uncovered in the Enron and related scandals, it did
nothing
about stock options. With stock options not being expensed, shareholders often
were not fully apprised of their cost. This provides strong incentives to pay
exorbitant compensation through stock options.
-INCENTIVES
FOR ACCOUNTING FIRMS
-SECURITISATION
-RATING
AGENCY INCENTIVES
-NEW
CONFLICTS OF INTEREST AND A NEW CULTURE:
REPEAL
OF GLASS-STEAGALL
-THE
BERNANKE-GREENSPAN PUT AND MORAL HAZARD
-CREATING
A CREDIT FREEZE
-TRANSPARENCY
AND COMPLEXITY
-INCENTIVES—AND
OPPORTUNITIES—FOR FRAUD
-REGULATORY
AND ACCOUNTING ARBITRAGE,,MISPRICING RISK AND EXCESSIVE LEVERAGE
-Modeling Problems
-FAILING
TO UNDERSTAND DIVERSIFICATION
DETECTING
PONZI SCHEMES
INTELLECTUAL
INCOHERENCE
The failure of the financial system to perform
its essential functions:
•
Housing
Price Bubble and Collapse.
•
Financial
Market Freeze and Collapse.
•
US
Housing Bubble created by
•
Low
interest rates
•
Lax
regulation of sub-prime mortgages with adjustable rates, two year teaser rates
•
Securitization
of mortgages, sold to unwary buyers as
highly rated
•
US
Bubble popped when
•
Interest
rates rose in 2006, housing prices fell
•
Subprime
mortgages and securities defaulted
•
Subprime
Debt Obligations made in USA held around the world caused global financial
shock.
•
Failure
of Lehman Bros in September 2007 caused massive panic over counterparty risk.
AIG required $180 billion bailout to cover Credit Default Swaps, insurance against
bond defaults underwritten without reserves.
•
COURSE
OF THE CRISIS
•
MORTGAGE
CRISIS.
•
COLLAPSE
OF COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE
•
BANKING
CRISIS
•
DECLINING
VALUE OF EURO.
•
Few
steps and suggestions to correct that crisis
It is believed that someone who has
experienced near to death re-evaluates his priorities and values in life. There
was a completer need to reform the economics and check the innovation
economics. Something which can be referred as ‘’reform economics’’. There was
need felt for efficient markets and markets with proper information.
We need to ensure that our resources
are properly allocated, and we must shape our values properly, it is more about
moral decline, and lack of peoples who take responsibility.
There were a series of financial
sectors reform
A
strong and independent financial product safety commission to protect
ordinary Americans against rampant abuses prevalent in the industry.
A systematic regulator who sees the
system as whole.
Curbs
on excessive risk sharing.
Curbs
on derivatives.
Few things from this USA crisis later
on transpired some effect to Euro zone crisis..
harsh vardhan pathak
msc integrated economics
doon university
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